Elise Mertens vs Madison Keys Prediction: Key Insights for the US Open Clash

Madison Keys Betting Insights

Madison Keys is coming off a straight set win over Maya Joint that took 16 games to decide. In this victory, Keys won 74 percent of her first serve points and 60 percent of her second serve points. She won 69 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 7 break points. Keys has dropped a combined 9 games in her first 4 sets and looks to win 3 straight matches for the first time since Wimbledon. Notably, Keys is 6-2 in US Open third round matches and has won 5 of her last 8 matches on hard court.

Elise Mertens Betting Insights

Elise Mertens is coming off a straight set win over Ajla Tomljanovic that took 17 games to decide. In this victory, Mertens won 84 percent of her first serve points and 46 percent of her second serve points. She won 69 percent of her total service points and converted on 3 of her 9 break points. Mertens has played over four hours of tennis to reach this match. Looking at recent history, Mertens has a chance to win 3 straight matches for the first time since January.

Head-to-Head Insight

Keys has won 3 of the 4 matches against Mertens, but it was Mertens who won the most recent contest in 2023 Cincinnati. Keys has grand slam wins in 2017 US Open, 2019 Australian Open, and 2021 Wimbledon, all resolved in straight sets.

Final Prediction

Mertens hasn’t put together wins consistently this season, making her an underdog here. Keys has demonstrated sharpness in her opening matches, minimizing unforced errors. Given her performance and home court support, Keys is poised to advance. I predict Keys will win in straight sets, making her a top contender for the title.