Myanmar's Civil War: China’s Dual Strategy Under Pressure

Environmental and Geostrategic Stakes in Myanmar

Myanmar has become a battleground not only for its internal conflicts but also for China's geostrategic interests. With the military junta facing significant losses to rebel groups, particularly after the fall of Lashio, China's investments hang in the balance. Beijing's top diplomat, Wang Yi, recently engaged with Myanmar's junta leader Min Aung Hlaing and called for political reconciliation and stability, emphasizing the need to protect vital economic projects that contribute to China’s access to the Indian Ocean.

The Role of ASEAN and Global Observers

China’s motivations in Myanmar are multifaceted. As it attempts to stabilize the nation, its relationship with ASEAN and perceptions by global observers such as the UN become increasingly important. By fostering talks, China aims not only to safeguard its investments but also to mitigate security issues arising from the unrest adjacent to its border. The involvement of figures like Yun Sun from the Stimson Centre underscores the heavy stakes at play in the region.

• Engagement with the Junta and Rebel Groups
• Efforts to Facilitate Peace Talks
• Risks to China's Economic Interests
• Need for Political Reconciliation through Elections

1. China's influence on both military and rebels.
2. Concerns about external interference.
3. Significance of maintaining cross-border economic stability.