Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Faces Assassination Fears with Israel Agreement

Concerns About Historical Precedents

According to a report by Politico, the crown prince questioned what the US did to protect Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, who was assassinated by Islamist militants in 1981 after signing a landmark peace deal with Israel. This remark underscores his anxiety over the potential repercussions of normalizing relations with Israel.

Plans for the Israel Deal and Security Assurances

Bin Salman, commonly known as MBS, indicated that although he fears that pursuing a grand bargain with the US and Israel may cost him his life, he still plans to forge ties with the Jewish state. The negotiation specifics, which remain largely confidential, include discussions about security assurances through a treaty, support for a civilian nuclear program, and investments in sectors like technology for Saudi Arabia.

Potential Shift in Saudi Arabia’s Relations with China

In return, some reports suggest that Saudi Arabia would limit its interactions with China and establish diplomatic relations with Israel, a significant move for Israel given Saudi Arabia's influence in the Muslim world.

Disappointment Over Lack of Palestinian Statehood Path

However, MBS has expressed disappointment that the Israeli government has been reluctant to include a viable pathway to Palestinian statehood in the agreement. 'Saudis care very deeply about this...,' he remarked, emphasizing the urgency of addressing justice issues in the region.

Strategic Intentions Amidst Personal Risks

Despite these challenges, MBS appears intent on striking the mega-deal with the US and Israel, viewing it as crucial for his country’s future.

Motivations Behind Discussions of Assassination

Nahal Toosi, a senior foreign affairs correspondent at Politico, noted that the Saudi crown prince has been discussing the possibility of his own assassination, possibly to pressure US officials into persuading Israel for a favorable deal.

Challenges in Securing the Deal Before November’s Election

Sources indicated that achieving an Israel-Saudi normalization agreement before the upcoming presidential election in November is unlikely, given the Senate's limited timeline. MBS's discussions about his assassination may aim to expedite the process.

White House Resumes Weapons Sales to Saudi Arabia

US President Joe Biden has stated that Saudi Arabia intends to fully recognize Israel in exchange for security guarantees and a civilian nuclear facility. The White House has resumed offensive weapons sales to Saudi Arabia, seen as part of efforts to secure a ceasefire in Gaza and counter a potential Iranian threat to Israel.

MBS’s Strategic Interests vs. Personal Safety Concerns

By moving ahead with the normalization agreement, MBS aims to reinforce Saudi Arabia's strategic interests, despite the potential risks to his personal safety.