AUD/USD Daily Forecast: Impacts of Trade Data and RBA Commentary

Wednesday, 4 September 2024, 17:47

AUD/USD forecasts are shaped by upbeat trade data and RBA Governor Bullock’s upcoming speech. With expectations for a narrowing trade surplus, market attention shifts toward $0.68. Investors must monitor U.S. jobs data for further impacts.
FX Empire
AUD/USD Daily Forecast: Impacts of Trade Data and RBA Commentary

Significant Economic Indicators for AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair is poised for movement as traders look to Australian trade data and global economic indicators.

  • Trade Surplus Trends: Economists predict Australia’s trade surplus will narrow from A$5.589 billion in June to A$5 billion in July.
  • Governor Bullock's Impact: RBA Governor Michele Bullock's comments on inflation and monetary policy could influence the AUD/USD pairing.
  • RBA Rate Decisions: The RBA's hawkish stance amid current economic conditions adds volatility.

U.S. Economic Indicators

Meanwhile, the U.S. economic calendar highlights labor market data that could affect the AUD/USD.

  1. ADP Employment Change expected to show an increase of 145k jobs.
  2. Initial Jobless Claims projected to slip slightly, impacting recession fears.

Market Expectations: A weaker-than-anticipated U.S. employment report could bolster the AUD/USD, pushing it towards key resistance levels.

Focus on Service Sector Data

Service data is crucial, contributing significantly to GDP. A larger PMI drop could result in a dovish Fed approach, further empowering the AUD/USD.

Price Action Insights: Current AUD/USD trading levels hover above critical moving averages, indicating potential bullish trends.

Investors should remain alert to both Australian and U.S. economic developments to navigate the forex landscape effectively.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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