USD/JPY Daily Forecast: Anticipated PMI Gains and BoJ Rate Decisions May Affect Yen Demand

Sunday, 1 September 2024, 17:31

USD/JPY forecast highlights the potential influence of PMI increases and Bank of Japan rate hike speculation on Yen values. Recent Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI data indicates a rise, suggesting economic strengthening. A rate hike by the BoJ could further bolster demand for the Japanese Yen.
FX Empire
USD/JPY Daily Forecast: Anticipated PMI Gains and BoJ Rate Decisions May Affect Yen Demand

Market Anticipations on USD/JPY Movement

The latest updates on the USD/JPY indicate that the Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI is a pivotal factor in market movements. As of September 2, preliminary figures show an increase from 49.1 in July to 49.5 in August.

Impact of Jibun Bank PMI on Economic Outlook

  • Considerable manufacturing activity might strengthen Japan’s economy.
  • Expectations of a BoJ rate hike in Q4 2024 could arise.

Economists like Jingyi Pan from S&P Global highlight the expansion in Japanese private sector activity, while Taro Kimura notes that rising inflation could prompt the Bank of Japan to consider rate hikes sooner rather than later.

USD Economic Indicators and Forecasts

The upcoming US economic data, especially from the Fed, will be crucial. Predictions suggest that a rate cut of 25 basis points could impact USD/JPY rates significantly.

  1. Monitor the US Jobs Report this Friday.
  2. Inflation trends and Fed rate comments may influence market reactions.

Analysts, including Shane Oliver from AMP, suggest that softer employment reports could set the stage for the anticipated rate adjustments.

Short-term Predictions for USD/JPY

Short-term forecasts remain cautious, with data on PMI, wage growth, and household spending holding the keys to potential movements in the USD/JPY pair. Investors are advised to stay alert to market shifts and revise trading strategies accordingly.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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