Rates Spark: How Data Influences the September Fed Cut

Thursday, 22 August 2024, 11:05

Data continues to cement expectations for a September Fed cut as revisions reveal 818k fewer US payroll jobs created. Markets reacted with volatility, yet the 2-year UST yield ultimately declined. This article delves into the implications of revised payroll data on monetary policy.
Seeking Alpha
Rates Spark: How Data Influences the September Fed Cut

Impacts of Revised Payroll Data on Monetary Policy

The latest revisions suggest that 818,000 fewer jobs were created than originally estimated, significantly impacting expectations for interest rate adjustments at the Federal Reserve.

Market Reactions to the Data

Following the release of this vital economic data, markets exhibited a choppy reaction. Investors shifted their focus towards future monetary policy moves.

Focus on UST Yields

  • 2-year UST yield led the decline in response to the employment figures.
  • This downward trend suggests growing investor skepticism regarding continued tightening by the Fed.

The underlying job market conditions are now under closer scrutiny as they play a crucial role in shaping policy decisions.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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