Euro Climbs as the ECB Refrains from a Pivot to Rate Cuts

Thursday, 7 March 2024, 15:45

The euro surged to a six-week high post the ECB rate decision, capitalizing on the general risk-on sentiment that saw the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rise significantly. Although the ECB revised down growth and inflation forecasts for the Eurozone, Lagarde's hint of a rate cut in June, not April, eased market worries. The focus remains on short-term gains, but a delayed rate cut might risk the euro's stability amid below-target inflation and weak growth.
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Euro Climbs as the ECB Refrains from a Pivot to Rate Cuts

Euro Rises After ECB Holds Steady on Rates

The euro is trading at a six-week high after the ECB rate decision. It's tempting to point to the ECB as the main catalyst but the euro is lagging the moves in the pound, Australian dollar and kiwi.

It's taking advantage of broader US dollar selling on an improvement in the general risk trade. The Nasdaq is up 1.2% and the S&P 500 up 0.9%, both near session highs.

Factors Impacting Euro's Movement

  • ECB Decision: Lagarde's hint of a rate cut in June opposed to the expected April trims.
  • Eurozone Forecasts: Growth and inflation forecasts revised lower, sparking speculations.
  • Market Sentiment: More focused on short-term gains rather than long-term risks.

The euro might face instability in the future if below-target inflation and weak growth persist, potentially affecting interest rates negatively and weighing on the currency.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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