Goldman Sachs Economists Update US Recession Risk Assessment

Monday, 5 August 2024, 01:30

Goldman Sachs economists have adjusted the likelihood of a US recession from 15% to 25%, while maintaining that the overall economic outlook remains stable. They note the absence of significant financial imbalances, suggesting that the Federal Reserve retains the ability to lower interest rates if necessary. This revised assessment prompts deeper analysis of potential economic impacts moving forward, with a focus on key indicators and Federal Reserve actions.

Livemint — Goldman Sachs Economists Update US Recession Risk Assessment

Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk

Goldman Sachs economists have modified their recession forecast, increasing the probability of a US recession from 15% to 25%. Despite this adjustment, the overall outlook for the US economy remains positive.

Key Economic Indicators

No major financial imbalances reported.
The Federal Reserve's capacity to lower interest rates quickly if required.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while the risk of recession has risen, the economic fundamentals appear robust, allowing policymakers the flexibility to respond as needed.

This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.

Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk

Key Economic Indicators

Conclusion

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