Housing Demand Drives Predictions of Hong Kong Residential Property Price Rebound in 2025

Monday, 11 November 2024, 02:00

Housing demand in Hong Kong is expected to lead to a 5% increase in residential property prices in 2025. Lower interest rates, influenced by the US Federal Reserve, are pivotal, despite concerns over unsold inventory. Praveen Choudhary of Morgan Stanley highlights this as the first annual price rise after five years of declines.
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Housing Demand Drives Predictions of Hong Kong Residential Property Price Rebound in 2025

Factors Behind Housing Demand in Hong Kong

Housing demand in Hong Kong is set to impact residential property prices significantly in the coming years. Analysts predict a 5% increase in prices in 2025, thanks to lower interest rates which will facilitate borrowing.

Impact of Lower Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve has lowered rates, resulting in Hong Kong's Monetary Authority reducing the base rate to 5%. This decline from 5.25% is vital as it creates favorable borrowing conditions. Key players, including HSBC and Standard Chartered, have cut their prime lending rates, reducing monthly mortgage payments for buyers significantly.

  • Example: Typical HK$5 million mortgage payment dropped by approximately HK$709.

Investment Opportunities Amidst Unsold Inventory

Despite the challenges posed by a substantial volume of unsold inventory, investors are keen on future property yields. Raymond Cheng of CGS International Securities states that while developers exercise caution in pricing, home prices are unlikely to continue declining.

  1. Sector analysts forecast about 108,000 first-hand units available over the next few years, indicating a robust pipeline for potential buyers.

Economic Performance and Future Forecasts

The recovery of Hong Kong’s housing demand hinges on the broader economic performance of Greater China. According to Xavier Lee from Morningstar, rising rents and interest rate cuts are expected to support buyer sentiment through 2025.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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