Durian Exporters Face Uncertain Future in China Amid Concerns of Supply Glut

Sunday, 10 November 2024, 06:00

Durian exporters from Southeast Asia are growing anxious about declining demand in China and a potential supply glut. With imports surging in recent years, the golden era of durian may soon become a silver era, raising concerns for producers.
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Durian Exporters Face Uncertain Future in China Amid Concerns of Supply Glut

Current State of Durian Imports in China

Durian exports from Southeast Asia, especially from Thailand and Malaysia, are facing challenges as concerns about oversupply and shifting consumer preferences grow. The Chinese market has seen a significant rise in durian imports, surpassing other fruits since 2019, with 1.4 million tonnes in imports valued at US$6.7 billion last year.

Pressures on Southeast Asian Producers

  • Competition: Chinese durian production, particularly from Hainan, is on the rise, but challenges remain.
  • Cost Differences: Durian production costs in Hainan are considerably higher than in Southeast Asia.
  • Market Demand: Per capita durian consumption in China lags behind Thailand and Malaysia.

Future Outlook for Durian Exports

Misperceptions of supply and demand dynamics may lead to a less favorable market. Producers express that while we are currently in a golden era of durians, the future may transition to a silver era, marked by oversupply concerns.

Challenges Ahead

  1. Potential quality degradation due to rapid expansion.
  2. Need for standardized quality regulations to maintain consumer trust.
  3. Strategies to mitigate risks from natural disasters affecting production.

This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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