The Role of Naturalized Citizens in the 2024 Election's Swing States

Friday, 18 October 2024, 05:44

Naturalized citizens could significantly impact the 2024 election, particularly in swing states like Georgia and Arizona. With nearly 4 million immigrants naturalized since 2020 and processing times improving, their voting power is notable. This demographic shift raises questions about the election's outcome between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
Newsweek
The Role of Naturalized Citizens in the 2024 Election's Swing States

Naturalized Citizens and Their Impact on Election Dynamics

According to experts, naturalized citizens could sway the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. A recent analysis from the Pew Research Center indicates that nearly 24 million naturalized citizens were eligible voters in 2022, reflecting about 10 percent of America’s electorate. As the federal government expedites citizenship applications, naturalized citizens make up crucial voting blocks in several swing states. With processing times having decreased to just under five months, the impact of naturalized citizens in the upcoming election becomes increasingly relevant.

Voting Power of Naturalized Citizens in Key States

  • In Nevada, naturalized citizens constitute 14 percent of eligible voters.
  • Arizona holds 9 percent, while Georgia features 7 percent.
  • Pennsylvania and Michigan both have around 5 percent of their electorate made up of naturalized citizens.
  • Wisconsin has about 3 percent.

As we approach the November elections, the potential influence of naturalized citizens could tilt the scales in the tight races between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

Naturalization Trends and Voter Eligibility

With current estimates suggesting that 7.4 million immigrants are eligible for naturalization, the stakes are high in pivotal states such as Georgia and Pennsylvania, where naturalized voter numbers could exceed margins of victory from 2020.

  1. Georgia: 574,000 eligible naturalized voters.
  2. Pennsylvania: 546,000 eligible.
  3. Arizona: 164,400 likely applicants.
  4. Nevada: 102,000 eligible.
  5. North Carolina: 138,200 likely candidates.
  6. Wisconsin: 47,000 potential new voters.

Though the timing of citizenship applications remains uncertain, the voting power of these citizens in swing states could, if mobilized, challenge traditional voting trends and shape the political landscape for the upcoming contest.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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