India Rate Cuts and September Inflation Surge: Economists Adjust Predictions

Monday, 14 October 2024, 23:44

India rate cuts are now seen as delayed to 2025 due to the spike in September inflation. The sharp rise in retail inflation to 5.49% has led economists to revise their expectations for interest rate adjustments. This article explores the implications of inflation on rate cut decisions and economic growth forecasts.
Deccanherald
India Rate Cuts and September Inflation Surge: Economists Adjust Predictions

Impact of September Inflation on India Rate Cuts

A rapid increase in India’s retail inflation for September has caused economists to reevaluate their projections regarding domestic rate cuts, extending the timeline to the first half of 2025. Annual retail inflation soared to 5.49%, marking its highest point in nine months, primarily driven by escalating food prices. This increase is significant compared to the 3.65% per cent recorded in August, outpacing economists' predictions of 5.04% per cent.

Reasons Behind the Inflation Surge

  • Rising food prices significantly impacted inflation rates.
  • Global economic conditions affecting local markets.
  • Domestic growth factors influencing rate adjustments.

Future Implications for Rate Cuts

While a rate cut was anticipated for December, the current scenario suggests that decision-makers may prioritize economic growth alongside inflation rates. Analysts will continue to monitor these economic indicators closely.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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