Altria Group's Future Uncertainty: Impact of Declining Cigarette Volume on Dividend Yield

Sunday, 12 May 2024, 18:24

Altria Group, a leading tobacco company, is facing challenges due to accelerating declines in cigarette usage in the U.S. This has led to stagnation in operating earnings and uncertainty about the sustainability of its ultra-high dividend yield. While the company is exploring new products to offset the decline, concerns linger about the longevity of its dividend-paying ability.
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Altria Group's Future Uncertainty: Impact of Declining Cigarette Volume on Dividend Yield

Accelerating cigarette volume decline

The fundamental issue for Altria is declining cigarette usage in the U.S. Management estimated a 9% volume decline in the first quarter of 2024, accelerating from 8% decline in 2023.

Historical trends and current challenges

  • Historically, Altria offset volume declines by raising cigarette prices.
  • With lower volumes and revenue growth, profit margins are stagnant.

Can new products replace tobacco?
Management invested in new products like nicotine pouches and vaping to combat cigarette decline.

The dividend is safe (for now)

Despite challenges, Altria's 8.7% dividend yield is projected to remain stable in the near term due to cash flow and buyback strategies.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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