Buckle Up for a Wild 2024: Is a Recession Looming?

Friday, 19 April 2024, 14:00

Concerns of a possible recession in the United States persist as a key economic indicator points to tough times ahead. Game of Trades warns of a looming economic downturn in the latter half of 2024 based on historical trends. While the yield curve and market opportunities present contrasting signals, investors are advised to brace for a turbulent year.
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Buckle Up for a Wild 2024: Is a Recession Looming?

Implication of the Yield Curve

The yield curve reflects the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates, with an inverted 10-year/3-month US Treasury curve serving as a recession warning signal. This inversion signifies investor pessimism towards short-term economic prospects.

Market Opportunity

Despite recession concerns, Game of Trades sees a potential market rally but cautions of a looming crash once the downturn hits, emphasizing the typical stock market behavior during recessions.

Conclusion

Game of Trades predicts a recession in H2 2024 based on the 10-year/3-month US Treasury curve. Investors are advised to prepare for a volatile year ahead.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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