Understanding the Longest Inverted Signal in Bond Markets

Monday, 15 April 2024, 19:35

For 446 consecutive trading sessions, a key recession indicator in the bond market has defied expectations by staying inverted without causing any economic downturn. This unusual occurrence challenges traditional forecasting models and highlights the complexity of predicting recessions solely based on historic signals.

https://store.livarava.com/8b8e6473-fb5f-11ee-a6be-63e1980711b2.jpg — Understanding the Longest Inverted Signal in Bond Markets

Recession Indicator Insights:

One of the bond-market’s most reliable signals of impending U.S. recessions has remained inverted for 446 straight trading sessions —matching a record, without producing any economic downturn.

This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.

Recession Indicator Insights:

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