China's Yuan Struggles to Meet Economic Growth Target Amid Zhang Zhiwei's Warnings

Monday, 23 September 2024, 06:00

Zhang Zhiwei warns that China's yuan is under pressure as the economy faces mounting challenges to meet its GDP growth target. August data reveals faltering exports and declining imports, raising concerns for President Xi Jinping's economic agenda.
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China's Yuan Struggles to Meet Economic Growth Target Amid Zhang Zhiwei's Warnings

China’s Economic Growth Target Under Threat

China's economic ambitions are at a crossroad as President Xi Jinping's government grapples with disappointing figures from August. Zhang Zhiwei, head of Pinpoint Asset Management, argues that the yuan's stability and the country's chances of hitting the 5% GDP growth target are at risk. Recent data shows exports soaring by 8.7%, but imports lagged, rising only 0.5%, which draws concern about China's economic momentum.

Challenges to Economic Recovery

  • Exports grew robustly in August but declining import volumes raise alarms.
  • Analysts warn of trade barriers and tariffs impacting future export levels.
  • Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast for China’s growth from 4.9% to 4.7%.

Fed Rate Cut Impact

The US Federal Reserve's recent rate cut has provided some relief to the yuan, offering a glimmer of hope for future easing measures by the People's Bank of China (PBOC). However, timing of potential adjustments remains uncertain as Zichun Huang from Capital Economics addresses the cautious stance the PBOC is taking on fast monetary policy changes.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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