Fed-funds Futures Indicate Significant Rate Cut as Fed Decision Approaches

Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 06:06

Fed-funds futures indicate a growing expectation for a half-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve ahead of the crucial decision this afternoon. Current data reveals a strong trader sentiment favoring a substantial adjustment rather than a smaller quarter-point reduction, reflecting market anxieties about economic conditions and monetary policy.
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Fed-funds Futures Indicate Significant Rate Cut as Fed Decision Approaches

Market Forecasts on Rate Cuts

Traders in the federal-funds-futures market on Wednesday continued to expect a large interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve ahead of its rate decision this afternoon.

Current Expectations for Rate Adjustments

Fed-funds futures showed a 63% chance the Fed will announce on Wednesday that it’s cutting its benchmark rate by a half percentage point, according to data from the CME FedWatch Tool, at last check. Traders saw a lower probability of 37% for a quarter-point cut.

Implications of Fed's Decision

The Fed, which currently holds its benchmark rate at a target range of 5.25% to 5.5%, will release its policy statement at 2 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday.


This article was prepared using information from open sources in accordance with the principles of Ethical Policy. The editorial team is not responsible for absolute accuracy, as it relies on data from the sources referenced.


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